That's why we do things like publish ratings of pollster accuracy and transparency and make complex election forecasting ...

we adjust those polls 2 points toward Harris. Finally, we give less weight to polls from pollsters without a 538 pollster ...

Last month, Rasmussen’s assessment of President Biden’s approval rating was included in the site’s average; it no longer is. Searching for “Rasmussen” on 538’s pollster rankings returns only pollster ...

There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner. We adjust polls for house effects, mode, partisanship, voter likelihood and third parties and weight them based on their firm’s 538 ...

Veteran pollster Nate Silver said Friday’s Marist poll bodes well for Vice President Harris’s campaign, with just days until ...

You can check which is which by looking them up on 538's pollster ratings page. We rate most pollsters on a scale from 0.5 to 3.0 stars based on how accurate they've been in past elections and how ...

How 538’s new 2024 presidential general election polling averages work. ABC News Trump leads in swing-state polls and is tied with Biden nationally 5mo ...

we adjust those polls 2 points toward Harris. Finally, we give less weight to polls from pollsters without a 538 pollster ...